Auto-Encoding Bayesian Inverse Games
This work addresses uncertainty quantification in multi-agent interactions for safer and more efficient motion planning, representing an incremental improvement over existing methods.
The paper tackles the inverse game problem in interactive motion planning, where agents must infer unknown game parameters from observations, by proposing a Bayesian approach using a variational autoencoder with an embedded differentiable game solver, which learns prior and posterior distributions and provides more accurate objective estimates than maximum likelihood estimation baselines in simulated driving scenarios.
When multiple agents interact in a common environment, each agent's actions impact others' future decisions, and noncooperative dynamic games naturally capture this coupling. In interactive motion planning, however, agents typically do not have access to a complete model of the game, e.g., due to unknown objectives of other players. Therefore, we consider the inverse game problem, in which some properties of the game are unknown a priori and must be inferred from observations. Existing maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) approaches to solve inverse games provide only point estimates of unknown parameters without quantifying uncertainty, and perform poorly when many parameter values explain the observed behavior. To address these limitations, we take a Bayesian perspective and construct posterior distributions of game parameters. To render inference tractable, we employ a variational autoencoder (VAE) with an embedded differentiable game solver. This structured VAE can be trained from an unlabeled dataset of observed interactions, naturally handles continuous, multi-modal distributions, and supports efficient sampling from the inferred posteriors without computing game solutions at runtime. Extensive evaluations in simulated driving scenarios demonstrate that the proposed approach successfully learns the prior and posterior game parameter distributions, provides more accurate objective estimates than MLE baselines, and facilitates safer and more efficient game-theoretic motion planning.