Electrical Behavior Association Mining for Household ShortTerm Energy Consumption Forecasting
This addresses the challenge of highly random user behaviors for home energy management, but it appears incremental as it builds on existing forecasting techniques.
The paper tackled the problem of forecasting household short-term energy consumption by proposing a method that uses association mining in electrical behaviors and a CNN-GRU model, resulting in a significant enhancement in accuracy.
Accurate household short-term energy consumption forecasting (STECF) is crucial for home energy management, but it is technically challenging, due to highly random behaviors of individual residential users. To improve the accuracy of STECF on a day-ahead scale, this paper proposes an novel STECF methodology that leverages association mining in electrical behaviors. First, a probabilistic association quantifying and discovering method is proposed to model the pairwise behaviors association and generate associated clusters. Then, a convolutional neural network-gated recurrent unit (CNN-GRU) based forecasting is provided to explore the temporal correlation and enhance accuracy. The testing results demonstrate that this methodology yields a significant enhancement in the STECF.