ESP: Extro-Spective Prediction for Long-term Behavior Reasoning in Emergency Scenarios
This work addresses safety in autonomous driving by improving prediction for rare emergency events, though it is incremental as it builds on existing methods with new data and features.
The paper tackles the challenge of long-term behavior prediction in emergency driving scenarios by introducing a new dataset and a flexible feature encoder that improves various prediction methods, achieving consistent performance gains as demonstrated by a new evaluation metric.
Emergent-scene safety is the key milestone for fully autonomous driving, and reliable on-time prediction is essential to maintain safety in emergency scenarios. However, these emergency scenarios are long-tailed and hard to collect, which restricts the system from getting reliable predictions. In this paper, we build a new dataset, which aims at the long-term prediction with the inconspicuous state variation in history for the emergency event, named the Extro-Spective Prediction (ESP) problem. Based on the proposed dataset, a flexible feature encoder for ESP is introduced to various prediction methods as a seamless plug-in, and its consistent performance improvement underscores its efficacy. Furthermore, a new metric named clamped temporal error (CTE) is proposed to give a more comprehensive evaluation of prediction performance, especially in time-sensitive emergency events of subseconds. Interestingly, as our ESP features can be described in human-readable language naturally, the application of integrating into ChatGPT also shows huge potential. The ESP-dataset and all benchmarks are released at https://dingrui-wang.github.io/ESP-Dataset/.