GEO-PHLGJul 25, 2024

Diffusion-based subsurface CO$_2$ multiphysics monitoring and forecasting

arXiv:2407.18426v33 citationsh-index: 12
Originality Synthesis-oriented
AI Analysis

This addresses the need for efficient real-time monitoring and forecasting in carbon capture and storage systems, though it appears to be an incremental application of existing diffusion models to a new domain.

The authors tackled the problem of computationally demanding seismic monitoring for carbon capture and storage by proposing a video diffusion model framework, which successfully predicted and inverted subsurface elastic properties and CO2 saturation with consistency in evolution.

Carbon capture and storage (CCS) plays a crucial role in mitigating greenhouse gas emissions, particularly from industrial outputs. Using seismic monitoring can aid in an accurate and robust monitoring system to ensure the effectiveness of CCS and mitigate associated risks. However, conventional seismic wave equation-based approaches are computationally demanding, which hinders real-time applications. In addition to efficiency, forecasting and uncertainty analysis are not easy to handle using such numerical-simulation-based approaches. To this end, we propose a novel subsurface multiphysics monitoring and forecasting framework utilizing video diffusion models. This approach can generate high-quality representations of CO$2$ evolution and associated changes in subsurface elastic properties. With reconstruction guidance, forecasting and inversion can be achieved conditioned on historical frames and/or observational data. Meanwhile, due to the generative nature of the approach, we can quantify uncertainty in the prediction. Tests based on the Compass model show that the proposed method successfully captured the inherently complex physical phenomena associated with CO$_2$ monitoring, and it can predict and invert the subsurface elastic properties and CO$_2$ saturation with consistency in their evolution.

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