Nonlinear spectral analysis extracts harmonics from land-atmosphere fluxes
This work addresses the problem of improving time-series decomposition for land-atmosphere interaction models, which is incremental as it applies an existing nonlinear method to a specific domain.
The study tackled the challenge of extracting periodic patterns and harmonics from land-atmosphere CO2 flux data, finding that Nonlinear Laplacian Spectral Analysis (NLSA) outperforms linear methods by detecting multiple relevant harmonics, though it fails with substantial measurement irregularities.
Understanding the dynamics of the land-atmosphere exchange of CO$_2$ is key to advance our predictive capacities of the coupled climate-carbon feedback system. In essence, the net vegetation flux is the difference of the uptake of CO$_2$ via photosynthesis and the release of CO$_2$ via respiration, while the system is driven by periodic processes at different time-scales. The complexity of the underlying dynamics poses challenges to classical decomposition methods focused on maximizing data variance, such as singular spectrum analysis. Here, we explore whether nonlinear data-driven methods can better separate periodic patterns and their harmonics from noise and stochastic variability. We find that Nonlinear Laplacian Spectral Analysis (NLSA) outperforms the linear method and detects multiple relevant harmonics. However, these harmonics are not detected in the presence of substantial measurement irregularities. In summary, the NLSA approach can be used to both extract the seasonal cycle more accurately than linear methods, but likewise detect irregular signals resulting from irregular land-atmosphere interactions or measurement failures. Improving the detection capabilities of time-series decomposition is essential for improving land-atmosphere interactions models that should operate accurately on any time scale.