Improving the accuracy of food security predictions by integrating conflict data
This work addresses food security prediction for populations in Africa, but it is incremental as it builds on existing methods by adding new data.
The paper tackled the problem of predicting food security by integrating conflict data, finding that this approach increased model accuracy by 1.5% compared to models without such data.
Violence and armed conflicts have emerged as prominent factors driving food crises. However, the extent of their impact remains largely unexplored. This paper provides an in-depth analysis of the impact of violent conflicts on food security in Africa. We performed a comprehensive correlation analysis using data from the Famine Early Warning Systems Network (FEWSNET) and the Armed Conflict Location Event Data (ACLED). Our results show that using conflict data to train machine learning models leads to a 1.5% increase in accuracy compared to models that do not incorporate conflict-related information. The key contribution of this study is the quantitative analysis of the impact of conflicts on food security predictions.