LGNADec 30, 2024

Learning Epidemiological Dynamics via the Finite Expression Method

arXiv:2412.21049v14 citationsh-index: 1J Mach Learn Model Comput
Originality Incremental advance
AI Analysis

This addresses the need for interpretable epidemiological models for public health decision-makers, though it appears incremental as it builds on existing symbolic learning approaches.

The paper tackled the problem of modeling infectious disease spread by introducing the Finite Expression Method, a symbolic learning framework that uses reinforcement learning to derive explicit mathematical expressions, achieving high accuracy in both synthetic and real-world datasets.

Modeling and forecasting the spread of infectious diseases is essential for effective public health decision-making. Traditional epidemiological models rely on expert-defined frameworks to describe complex dynamics, while neural networks, despite their predictive power, often lack interpretability due to their ``black-box" nature. This paper introduces the Finite Expression Method, a symbolic learning framework that leverages reinforcement learning to derive explicit mathematical expressions for epidemiological dynamics. Through numerical experiments on both synthetic and real-world datasets, FEX demonstrates high accuracy in modeling and predicting disease spread, while uncovering explicit relationships among epidemiological variables. These results highlight FEX as a powerful tool for infectious disease modeling, combining interpretability with strong predictive performance to support practical applications in public health.

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