Large Language Models for Single-Step and Multi-Step Flight Trajectory Prediction
This addresses the problem of accurate flight trajectory prediction for aviation, but it is incremental as it applies existing LLMs to a new domain.
This study tackled flight trajectory prediction by reframing it as a language modeling problem using large language models (LLMs), achieving notable performance improvements in both single-step and multi-step predictions compared to traditional methods, with the LLaMA-3.1 model showing the highest overall accuracy.
Flight trajectory prediction is a critical time series task in aviation. While deep learning methods have shown significant promise, the application of large language models (LLMs) to this domain remains underexplored. This study pioneers the use of LLMs for flight trajectory prediction by reframing it as a language modeling problem. Specifically, We extract features representing the aircraft's position and status from ADS-B flight data to construct a prompt-based dataset, where trajectory waypoints are converted into language tokens. The dataset is then employed to fine-tune LLMs, enabling them to learn complex spatiotemporal patterns for accurate predictions. Comprehensive experiments demonstrate that LLMs achieve notable performance improvements in both single-step and multi-step predictions compared to traditional methods, with LLaMA-3.1 model achieving the highest overall accuracy. However, the high inference latency of LLMs poses a challenge for real-time applications, underscoring the need for further research in this promising direction.