LGFeb 18, 2025

The Relationship Between Head Injury and Alzheimer's Disease: A Causal Analysis with Bayesian Networks

arXiv:2502.12898v1h-index: 1
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This research addresses Alzheimer's disease risk assessment for medical researchers, but it is incremental as it confirms prior findings and calls for more data.

This study investigated the causal relationship between head injury and Alzheimer's disease risk using Bayesian networks and regression models on a dataset of 2,149 patients, finding that head injury had a statistically insignificant protective effect (odds ratio 0.88) while memory complaints showed a strong association (odds ratio 4.59).

This study examines the potential causal relationship between head injury and the risk of developing Alzheimer's disease (AD) using Bayesian networks and regression models. Using a dataset of 2,149 patients, we analyze key medical history variables, including head injury history, memory complaints, cardiovascular disease, and diabetes. Logistic regression results suggest an odds ratio of 0.88 for head injury, indicating a potential but statistically insignificant protective effect against AD. In contrast, memory complaints exhibit a strong association with AD, with an odds ratio of 4.59. Linear regression analysis further confirms the lack of statistical significance for head injury (coefficient: -0.0245, p = 0.469) while reinforcing the predictive importance of memory complaints. These findings highlight the complex interplay of medical history factors in AD risk assessment and underscore the need for further research utilizing larger datasets and advanced causal modeling techniques.

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