International Agreements on AI Safety: Review and Recommendations for a Conditional AI Safety Treaty
It addresses the problem of catastrophic AI risks for humanity by proposing an incremental international governance framework.
The paper reviews recent proposals for international agreements on AI safety to address risks from advanced general-purpose AI, and recommends a treaty with a compute threshold and oversight mechanisms like audits and AI Safety Institutes to manage development risks.
The malicious use or malfunction of advanced general-purpose AI (GPAI) poses risks that, according to leading experts, could lead to the 'marginalisation or extinction of humanity.' To address these risks, there are an increasing number of proposals for international agreements on AI safety. In this paper, we review recent (2023-) proposals, identifying areas of consensus and disagreement, and drawing on related literature to assess their feasibility. We focus our discussion on risk thresholds, regulations, types of international agreement and five related processes: building scientific consensus, standardisation, auditing, verification and incentivisation. Based on this review, we propose a treaty establishing a compute threshold above which development requires rigorous oversight. This treaty would mandate complementary audits of models, information security and governance practices, overseen by an international network of AI Safety Institutes (AISIs) with authority to pause development if risks are unacceptable. Our approach combines immediately implementable measures with a flexible structure that can adapt to ongoing research.