Enhancing Tropical Cyclone Path Forecasting with an Improved Transformer Network
This work addresses storm forecasting to protect human life and property, but it appears incremental as it builds on existing Transformer networks.
The authors tackled tropical cyclone path forecasting by proposing an improved Transformer network, achieving more accurate, faster, and more cost-effective predictions compared to traditional methods for 6-hour trajectories.
A storm is a type of extreme weather. Therefore, forecasting the path of a storm is extremely important for protecting human life and property. However, storm forecasting is very challenging because storm trajectories frequently change. In this study, we propose an improved deep learning method using a Transformer network to predict the movement trajectory of a storm over the next 6 hours. The storm data used to train the model was obtained from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) [1]. Simulation results show that the proposed method is more accurate than traditional methods. Moreover, the proposed method is faster and more cost-effective