LGAICLCRJun 25, 2025

Counterfactual Influence as a Distributional Quantity

arXiv:2506.20481v1h-index: 7
Originality Incremental advance
AI Analysis

This work addresses privacy and generalization concerns for ML practitioners by revealing that memorization is more complex than previously thought, though it is incremental in refining existing influence metrics.

The paper tackles the problem of underestimating memorization risks in machine learning models by showing that solely relying on self-influence metrics can be misleading, as it fails to account for interactions from other training samples like near-duplicates. They demonstrate that in a small language model, near-duplicates reduce self-influence but remain extractable, and similar patterns are observed in image classification on CIFAR-10.

Machine learning models are known to memorize samples from their training data, raising concerns around privacy and generalization. Counterfactual self-influence is a popular metric to study memorization, quantifying how the model's prediction for a sample changes depending on the sample's inclusion in the training dataset. However, recent work has shown memorization to be affected by factors beyond self-influence, with other training samples, in particular (near-)duplicates, having a large impact. We here study memorization treating counterfactual influence as a distributional quantity, taking into account how all training samples influence how a sample is memorized. For a small language model, we compute the full influence distribution of training samples on each other and analyze its properties. We find that solely looking at self-influence can severely underestimate tangible risks associated with memorization: the presence of (near-)duplicates seriously reduces self-influence, while we find these samples to be (near-)extractable. We observe similar patterns for image classification, where simply looking at the influence distributions reveals the presence of near-duplicates in CIFAR-10. Our findings highlight that memorization stems from complex interactions across training data and is better captured by the full influence distribution than by self-influence alone.

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