CLCYAug 18, 2025

Leveraging Large Language Models for Predictive Analysis of Human Misery

arXiv:2508.12669v1h-index: 9Has Code
Originality Incremental advance
AI Analysis

It addresses the problem of affective prediction for researchers in AI and psychology, but is incremental as it applies existing LLM methods to a new emotional reasoning task.

This study tackled predicting human-perceived misery scores from natural language descriptions using Large Language Models, finding that few-shot prompting outperformed zero-shot baselines and introducing a gamified framework to assess dynamic emotional reasoning.

This study investigates the use of Large Language Models (LLMs) for predicting human-perceived misery scores from natural language descriptions of real-world scenarios. The task is framed as a regression problem, where the model assigns a scalar value from 0 to 100 to each input statement. We evaluate multiple prompting strategies, including zero-shot, fixed-context few-shot, and retrieval-based prompting using BERT sentence embeddings. Few-shot approaches consistently outperform zero-shot baselines, underscoring the value of contextual examples in affective prediction. To move beyond static evaluation, we introduce the "Misery Game Show", a novel gamified framework inspired by a television format. It tests LLMs through structured rounds involving ordinal comparison, binary classification, scalar estimation, and feedback-driven reasoning. This setup enables us to assess not only predictive accuracy but also the model's ability to adapt based on corrective feedback. The gamified evaluation highlights the broader potential of LLMs in dynamic emotional reasoning tasks beyond standard regression. Code and data link: https://github.com/abhi1nandy2/Misery_Data_Exps_GitHub

Foundations

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