CVAISep 25, 2025

Beyond the Individual: Introducing Group Intention Forecasting with SHOT Dataset

arXiv:2509.20715v3h-index: 5MM
Originality Incremental advance
AI Analysis

This work addresses the limitation of individual intention recognition in group settings, providing a foundation for future research in collective behavior analysis, though it is incremental as it builds on existing intention recognition methods.

The paper tackles the problem of forecasting group intentions, which are shared goals emerging from individual actions, by introducing the Group Intention Forecasting (GIF) task and the SHOT dataset with 1,979 basketball video clips, and shows that their GIFT framework effectively forecasts intention emergence.

Intention recognition has traditionally focused on individual intentions, overlooking the complexities of collective intentions in group settings. To address this limitation, we introduce the concept of group intention, which represents shared goals emerging through the actions of multiple individuals, and Group Intention Forecasting (GIF), a novel task that forecasts when group intentions will occur by analyzing individual actions and interactions before the collective goal becomes apparent. To investigate GIF in a specific scenario, we propose SHOT, the first large-scale dataset for GIF, consisting of 1,979 basketball video clips captured from 5 camera views and annotated with 6 types of individual attributes. SHOT is designed with 3 key characteristics: multi-individual information, multi-view adaptability, and multi-level intention, making it well-suited for studying emerging group intentions. Furthermore, we introduce GIFT (Group Intention ForecasTer), a framework that extracts fine-grained individual features and models evolving group dynamics to forecast intention emergence. Experimental results confirm the effectiveness of SHOT and GIFT, establishing a strong foundation for future research in group intention forecasting. The dataset is available at https://xinyi-hu.github.io/SHOT_DATASET.

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