LGAIOct 9, 2025

Think Just Enough: Sequence-Level Entropy as a Confidence Signal for LLM Reasoning

arXiv:2510.08146v319 citationsh-index: 2
Originality Incremental advance
AI Analysis

This work addresses computational cost and latency issues for users of advanced reasoning models, though it is incremental as it builds on existing entropy concepts.

The paper tackles the problem of computational inefficiency in large language models during reasoning tasks by introducing an entropy-based framework for early stopping, achieving 25-50% computational savings while maintaining task accuracy.

We introduce a simple, yet novel entropy-based framework to drive token efficiency in large language models during reasoning tasks. Our approach uses Shannon entropy from token-level logprobs as a confidence signal to enable early stopping, achieving 25-50% computational savings while maintaining task accuracy. Crucially, we demonstrate that entropy-based confidence calibration represents an emergent property of advanced post-training optimization present in modern reasoning models but notably absent in standard instruction-tuned and pre-trained models (Llama 3.3 70B). We show that the entropy threshold to stop reasoning varies from model to model but can be calculated easily in one shot using only a few examples from existing reasoning datasets. Our results indicate that advanced reasoning models often know that they've gotten a correct answer early on, and that this emergent confidence awareness can be exploited to save tokens and reduce latency. The framework demonstrates consistent performance across reasoning-optimized model families with 25-50% computational cost reduction while preserving accuracy, revealing that confidence mechanisms represent a distinguishing characteristic of modern post-trained reasoning systems versus their predecessors.

Foundations

The foundational work for this paper's niche, ranked by how specifically the neighbourhood builds on it — not by global fame.

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