LGMLOct 13, 2025

How Reinforcement Learning After Next-Token Prediction Facilitates Learning

arXiv:2510.11495v16 citationsh-index: 20
Originality Incremental advance
AI Analysis

This provides theoretical insights into a key training paradigm for improving reasoning in large language models, though it is incremental in analyzing existing methods.

The paper tackles the problem of how reinforcement learning after next-token prediction enables autoregressive transformers to generalize on tasks like predicting the parity of d bits, showing it works efficiently even with rare long demonstrations, whereas next-token prediction alone requires extreme resources.

Recent advances in reasoning domains with neural networks have primarily been enabled by a training recipe that optimizes Large Language Models, previously trained to predict the next-token in a sequence, with reinforcement learning algorithms. We introduce a framework to study the success of this paradigm, and we theoretically expose the optimization mechanisms by which reinforcement learning improves over next-token prediction in this setting. We study learning from mixture distributions of short and long ``chain-of-thought'' sequences encoding a single task. In particular, when the task consists of predicting the parity of $d$ bits and long sequences are rare, we show how reinforcement learning after next-token prediction enables autoregressive transformers to generalize, whereas mere next-token prediction requires extreme statistical or computational resources to do so. We further explain how reinforcement learning leverages increased test-time computation, manifested in longer responses, to facilitate this learning process. In a simplified setting, we theoretically prove that autoregressive linear models following this training recipe can efficiently learn to predict the parity of $d$ bits as long as the proportion of long demonstrations in the data mix is not exponentially small in the input dimension $d$. Finally, we demonstrate these same phenomena in other settings, including the post-training of Llama-series models on mixture variations of common mathematical reasoning benchmarks.

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