AICYMANov 10, 2025

Evaluating Online Moderation Via LLM-Powered Counterfactual Simulations

arXiv:2511.07204v1
Originality Highly original
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This addresses the challenge of assessing moderation interventions for online social networks, offering a novel simulation-based evaluation tool.

The paper tackles the problem of evaluating online moderation effectiveness by developing an LLM-powered simulator for counterfactual simulations of social network conversations, showing that personalized moderation strategies are superior.

Online Social Networks (OSNs) widely adopt content moderation to mitigate the spread of abusive and toxic discourse. Nonetheless, the real effectiveness of moderation interventions remains unclear due to the high cost of data collection and limited experimental control. The latest developments in Natural Language Processing pave the way for a new evaluation approach. Large Language Models (LLMs) can be successfully leveraged to enhance Agent-Based Modeling and simulate human-like social behavior with unprecedented degree of believability. Yet, existing tools do not support simulation-based evaluation of moderation strategies. We fill this gap by designing a LLM-powered simulator of OSN conversations enabling a parallel, counterfactual simulation where toxic behavior is influenced by moderation interventions, keeping all else equal. We conduct extensive experiments, unveiling the psychological realism of OSN agents, the emergence of social contagion phenomena and the superior effectiveness of personalized moderation strategies.

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