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Model Predictive Control via Probabilistic Inference: A Tutorial and Survey

arXiv:2511.080195.53 citationsh-index: 2
Predicted impact top 84% in RO · last 90 daysOriginality Synthesis-oriented
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It offers a unified perspective and practical guide for researchers and practitioners in robotics and control applications, but is incremental as it synthesizes existing work.

This paper provides a tutorial and survey on Probabilistic Inference-based Model Predictive Control (PI-MPC), which reformulates optimal control as probabilistic inference to generate actions via variational inference, with Model Predictive Path Integral (MPPI) control as a key example.

This paper presents a tutorial and survey on Probabilistic Inference-based Model Predictive Control (PI-MPC). PI-MPC reformulates finite-horizon optimal control as inference over an optimal control distribution expressed as a Boltzmann distribution weighted by a control prior, and generates actions through variational inference. In the tutorial part, we derive this formulation and explain action generation via variational inference, highlighting Model Predictive Path Integral (MPPI) control as a representative algorithm with a closed-form sampling update. In the survey part, we organize existing PI-MPC research around key design dimensions, including prior design, multi-modality, constraint handling, scalability, hardware acceleration, and theoretical analysis. This paper provides a unified conceptual perspective on PI-MPC and a practical entry point for researchers and practitioners in robotics and other control applications.

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