LGCVCYETDec 7, 2025

Estimating Black Carbon Concentration from Urban Traffic Using Vision-Based Machine Learning

arXiv:2512.06649v1h-index: 20
Originality Incremental advance
AI Analysis

This work addresses the lack of local black carbon data for marginalized communities affected by traffic pollution, providing actionable insights for policy and urban planning.

The paper tackled the problem of estimating black carbon concentrations from urban traffic using vision-based machine learning, achieving an R-squared of 0.72 and RMSE of 129.42 ng/m³.

Black carbon (BC) emissions in urban areas are primarily driven by traffic, with hotspots near major roads disproportionately affecting marginalized communities. Because BC monitoring is typically performed using costly and specialized instruments. there is little to no available data on BC from local traffic sources that could help inform policy interventions targeting local factors. By contrast, traffic monitoring systems are widely deployed in cities around the world, highlighting the imbalance between what we know about traffic conditions and what do not know about their environmental consequences. To bridge this gap, we propose a machine learning-driven system that extracts visual information from traffic video to capture vehicles behaviors and conditions. Combining these features with weather data, our model estimates BC at street level, achieving an R-squared value of 0.72 and RMSE of 129.42 ng/m3 (nanogram per cubic meter). From a sustainability perspective, this work leverages resources already supported by urban infrastructure and established modeling techniques to generate information relevant to traffic emission. Obtaining BC concentration data provides actionable insights to support pollution reduction, urban planning, public health, and environmental justice at the local municipal level.

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