OCLGSYDec 11, 2025

Distributionally Robust Regret Optimal Control Under Moment-Based Ambiguity Sets

arXiv:2512.10906v1h-index: 26
Originality Incremental advance
AI Analysis

This addresses distributional uncertainty in control systems for applications like robotics or finance, but it is incremental as it builds on existing distributionally robust control frameworks.

The paper tackles finite-horizon linear-quadratic stochastic control with unknown noise distributions by designing causal affine policies to minimize worst-case expected regret over moment-based ambiguity sets, resulting in a tractable convex reformulation and a scalable dual projected subgradient method for computation.

In this paper, we consider a class of finite-horizon, linear-quadratic stochastic control problems, where the probability distribution governing the noise process is unknown but assumed to belong to an ambiguity set consisting of all distributions whose mean and covariance lie within norm balls centered at given nominal values. To address the distributional ambiguity, we explore the design of causal affine control policies to minimize the worst-case expected regret over all distributions in the given ambiguity set. The resulting minimax optimal control problem is shown to admit an equivalent reformulation as a tractable convex program that corresponds to a regularized version of the nominal linear-quadratic stochastic control problem. While this convex program can be recast as a semidefinite program, semidefinite programs are typically solved using primal-dual interior point methods that scale poorly with the problem size in practice. To address this limitation, we propose a scalable dual projected subgradient method to compute optimal controllers to an arbitrary accuracy. Numerical experiments are presented to benchmark the proposed method against state-of-the-art data-driven and distributionally robust control design approaches.

Foundations

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