CYApr 3

Effects of Algorithmic Visibility on Conspiracy Communities: Reddit after Epstein's 'Suicide'

arXiv:2512.2435111.7h-index: 5
Predicted impact top 91% in CY · last 90 daysOriginality Incremental advance
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This research provides insights into how external events and platform algorithms influence conspiracy communities, with implications for designing responsible recommendation systems.

The study examined how a sudden surge in mainstream attention to the r/conspiracy subreddit after Jeffrey Epstein's death affected user participation and discourse, finding that users joining during high-visibility periods participated more briefly and remained linguistically distant from core members, while those joining during quieter periods showed greater linguistic similarity and stable engagement.

Following the death of Jeffrey Epstein, the subreddit r/conspiracy experienced a significant visibility shock that brought mainstream users into direct contact with established conspiracy narratives. In this work, we explore how large-scale surges in public attention reshape participation and discourse within online conspiracy communities. We ask whether a sudden increase in exposure changes who join r/conspiracy, how long they stay, and how they adapt linguistically, compared with users who arrive through organic discovery. Using a computational framework that combines toxicity scores, survival analysis, and lexical and semantic measures over a period of 12 months, we observe that mainstream visibility is is associated with patterns consistent with a selection mechanism rather than a simple amplifier. Users who join the conspiracy community during the arrest-period tend to show higher linguistic similarity to core users, especially regarding linguistic and thematic norms and showing more stable engagement over time. By contrast, users who arrive during the height of public visibility remain semantically distant from core discourse and participate more briefly. Overall, we find that mainstream visibility is connected with changes in audience size, community composition, and linguistic cohesion. However, incidental exposure during attention shocks does not typically produce durable, integrated community members. These results provide a more nuanced understanding of how external events and platform visibility influence the growth and evolution of conspiracy spaces, offering insights for the design of responsible and transparent recommendation systems.

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