Can We Predict Before Executing Machine Learning Agents?

arXiv:2601.05930v14 citationsh-index: 32Has Code
Originality Incremental advance
AI Analysis

This addresses a key efficiency problem for researchers and practitioners using ML agents in scientific discovery, though it is incremental as it builds on existing paradigms like World Models.

The paper tackles the execution bottleneck in autonomous machine learning agents by introducing a method to predict outcomes before physical execution, achieving 61.5% accuracy and a 6x acceleration in convergence.

Autonomous machine learning agents have revolutionized scientific discovery, yet they remain constrained by a Generate-Execute-Feedback paradigm. Previous approaches suffer from a severe Execution Bottleneck, as hypothesis evaluation relies strictly on expensive physical execution. To bypass these physical constraints, we internalize execution priors to substitute costly runtime checks with instantaneous predictive reasoning, drawing inspiration from World Models. In this work, we formalize the task of Data-centric Solution Preference and construct a comprehensive corpus of 18,438 pairwise comparisons. We demonstrate that LLMs exhibit significant predictive capabilities when primed with a Verified Data Analysis Report, achieving 61.5% accuracy and robust confidence calibration. Finally, we instantiate this framework in FOREAGENT, an agent that employs a Predict-then-Verify loop, achieving a 6x acceleration in convergence while surpassing execution-based baselines by +6%. Our code and dataset will be publicly available soon at https://github.com/zjunlp/predict-before-execute.

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