AIJan 14

Automating Supply Chain Disruption Monitoring via an Agentic AI Approach

arXiv:2601.09680v13 citationsh-index: 11
Originality Incremental advance
AI Analysis

This work addresses the challenge of proactive resilience in supply chains for companies, though it appears incremental as it builds on existing AI and monitoring approaches.

The paper tackles the problem of limited visibility in supply chain disruptions beyond Tier-1 suppliers by introducing an agentic AI framework that autonomously monitors and analyzes disruptions, achieving high accuracy with F1 scores between 0.962 and 0.991 and reducing response time by more than three orders of magnitude compared to industry benchmarks.

Modern supply chains are increasingly exposed to disruptions from geopolitical events, demand shocks, trade restrictions, to natural disasters. While many of these disruptions originate deep in the supply network, most companies still lack visibility beyond Tier-1 suppliers, leaving upstream vulnerabilities undetected until the impact cascades downstream. To overcome this blind-spot and move from reactive recovery to proactive resilience, we introduce a minimally supervised agentic AI framework that autonomously monitors, analyses, and responds to disruptions across extended supply networks. The architecture comprises seven specialised agents powered by large language models and deterministic tools that jointly detect disruption signals from unstructured news, map them to multi-tier supplier networks, evaluate exposure based on network structure, and recommend mitigations such as alternative sourcing options. \rev{We evaluate the framework across 30 synthesised scenarios covering three automotive manufacturers and five disruption classes. The system achieves high accuracy across core tasks, with F1 scores between 0.962 and 0.991, and performs full end-to-end analyses in a mean of 3.83 minutes at a cost of \$0.0836 per disruption. Relative to industry benchmarks of multi-day, analyst-driven assessments, this represents a reduction of more than three orders of magnitude in response time. A real-world case study of the 2022 Russia-Ukraine conflict further demonstrates operational applicability. This work establishes a foundational step toward building resilient, proactive, and autonomous supply chains capable of managing disruptions across deep-tier networks.

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