AIJan 28

Bayesian-LoRA: Probabilistic Low-Rank Adaptation of Large Language Models

arXiv:2601.21003v1
Originality Incremental advance
AI Analysis

This addresses the calibration problem in LLM fine-tuning, which is especially severe for small datasets, though it appears to be an incremental improvement over existing LoRA methods.

The paper tackles the problem of LLMs being overconfident when fine-tuned on small datasets by introducing Bayesian-LoRA, a probabilistic adaptation method that reformulates deterministic LoRA updates. The result is significantly improved calibration across models up to 30B, achieving up to 84% ECE reduction and 76% NLL reduction with minimal parameter and training cost increases.

Large Language Models usually put more emphasis on accuracy and therefore, will guess even when not certain about the prediction, which is especially severe when fine-tuned on small datasets due to the inherent tendency toward miscalibration. In this work, we introduce Bayesian-LoRA, which reformulates the deterministic LoRA update as a probabilistic low-rank representation inspired by Sparse Gaussian Processes. We identify a structural isomorphism between LoRA's factorization and Kronecker-factored SGP posteriors, and show that LoRA emerges as a limiting case when posterior uncertainty collapses. We conduct extensive experiments on various LLM architectures across commonsense reasoning benchmarks. With only approximately 0.42M additional parameters and ${\approx}1.2{\times}$ training cost relative to standard LoRA, Bayesian-LoRA significantly improves calibration across models up to 30B, achieving up to 84% ECE reduction and 76% NLL reduction while maintaining competitive accuracy for both in-distribution and out-of-distribution (OoD) evaluations.

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