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Soft Sensor for Bottom-Hole Pressure Estimation in Petroleum Wells Using Long Short-Term Memory and Transfer Learning

arXiv:2602.03737v1h-index: 2
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This provides a cost-effective alternative to physical sensors for monitoring in petroleum wells, addressing reliability and cost issues, though it is incremental as it applies existing ML methods to a specific domain.

The paper tackled the problem of estimating bottom-hole pressure in petroleum wells by developing a soft sensor using LSTM and transfer learning, achieving a Mean Absolute Percentage Error consistently below 2% on real offshore datasets.

Monitoring bottom-hole variables in petroleum wells is essential for production optimization, safety, and emissions reduction. Permanent Downhole Gauges (PDGs) provide real-time pressure data but face reliability and cost issues. We propose a machine learning-based soft sensor to estimate flowing Bottom-Hole Pressure (BHP) using wellhead and topside measurements. A Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) model is introduced and compared with Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP) and Ridge Regression. We also pioneer Transfer Learning for adapting models across operational environments. Tested on real offshore datasets from Brazil's Pre-salt basin, the methodology achieved Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) consistently below 2\%, outperforming benchmarks. This work offers a cost-effective, accurate alternative to physical sensors, with broad applicability across diverse reservoir and flow conditions.

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