CLFeb 6

Judging What We Cannot Solve: A Consequence-Based Approach for Oracle-Free Evaluation of Research-Level Math

arXiv:2602.06291v1h-index: 8
Originality Incremental advance
AI Analysis

This addresses the bottleneck of expert verification in evaluating AI-generated math solutions, offering a scalable alternative for researchers and developers, though it is incremental as it builds on existing reasoning models.

The paper tackles the problem of verifying research-level math solutions without expert oracles by proposing Consequence-Based Utility, which scores solutions based on their utility as in-context exemplars for related verifiable questions, improving Acc@1 from 67.2 to 76.3 and AUC from 71.4 to 79.6 on GPT-OSS-120B.

Recent progress in reasoning models suggests that generating plausible attempts for research-level mathematics may be within reach, but verification remains a bottleneck, consuming scarce expert time. We hypothesize that a meaningful solution should contain enough method-level information that, when applied to a neighborhood of related questions, it should yield better downstream performance than incorrect solutions. Building on this idea, we propose \textbf{Consequence-Based Utility}, an oracle-free evaluator that scores each candidate by testing its value as an in-context exemplar in solving related yet verifiable questions. Our approach is evaluated on an original set of research-level math problems, each paired with one expert-written solution and nine LLM-generated solutions. Notably, Consequence-Based Utility consistently outperforms reward models, generative reward models, and LLM judges on ranking quality. Specifically, for GPT-OSS-120B, it improves Acc@1 from 67.2 to 76.3 and AUC from 71.4 to 79.6, with similarly large AUC gains on GPT-OSS-20B (69.0 to 79.2). Furthermore, compared to LLM-Judges, it also exhibits a larger solver-evaluator gap, maintaining a stronger correct-wrong separation even on instances where the underlying solver often fails to solve.

Foundations

The foundational work for this paper's niche, ranked by how specifically the neighbourhood builds on it — not by global fame.

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