Hardware-Agnostic Modeling of Quantum Side-Channel Leakage via Conditional Dynamics and Learning from Full Correlation Data
It addresses the problem of modeling and exploiting side-channel leakage in quantum cryptographic systems, but the results are incremental as they focus on a specific instantiation and do not provide concrete performance numbers.
This paper introduces a hardware-agnostic model for quantum side-channel leakage using full correlation data from sequential coherent interactions, and demonstrates a machine learning decoder that generalizes across coupling and noise settings without retraining.
We study a sequential coherent side-channel model in which an adversarial probe qubit interacts with a target qubit during a hidden gate sequence. Repeating the same hidden sequence for $N$ shots yields an empirical \emph{full-correlation record}: the joint histogram $\widehat{P}_g(b)$ over probe bit-strings $b\in\{0,1\}^k$, which is a sufficient statistic for classical post-processing under identically and independently distributed (i.i.d.)\ shots but grows exponentially with circuit depth. We first describe this sequential probe framework in a coupling- and measurement-agnostic form, emphasizing the scaling of the observation space and why exact analytic distinguishability becomes intractable with circuit depth. We then specialize to a representative instantiation (a controlled-rotation probe coupling with fixed projective readout and a commuting $R_x$ gate alphabet) where we (i) derive a depth-dependent leakage envelope whose maximizer predicts a coupling band as a function of depth {if the measurement data is reduced to marginal statistics}, and (ii) provide an operational decoder, via machine learning, a single parameter-conditioned map from $\widehat{P}_g$ to Alice's per-step gate labels, generalizing across coupling and noise settings without retraining.