Engineered Simultaneity: The Physical Impossibility of Consolidated Price Discovery Across Spacelike-Separated Exchanges
This exposes a fundamental flaw in financial market regulations, affecting traders and regulators by revealing an unavoidable physical constraint on price discovery.
The paper tackles the problem of the National Best Bid and Offer (NBBO) in U.S. equity markets requiring simultaneous price comparisons across spacelike-separated exchanges, which is physically impossible due to special relativity, leading to about $5 billion per year in latency arbitrage profits.
We define \emph{engineered simultaneity}: the construction of a system that requires temporal comparison of events at spacelike-separated locations, implements this comparison via an implicit simultaneity convention, and represents the result as an objective measurement rather than a conventional choice. We show that the National Best Bid and Offer (NBBO) -- the regulatory cornerstone of U.S. equity markets -- is an instance of engineered simultaneity. The NBBO requires determining ``current'' prices across exchanges whose spatial separation places their price events outside each other's light cones. Special relativity proves that the temporal ordering of such events is frame-dependent: there exist inertial reference frames in which the NBBO differs from the value reported by the Securities Information Processor. The impossibility is not approximate; it is exact and unavoidable within the causal structure of Minkowski spacetime. General relativity compounds the impossibility: gravitational time dilation introduces frame-rate discrepancies between exchanges at different altitudes, and recent work on indefinite causal order in quantum information theory undermines the premise of a fixed causal structure altogether. We formalize the special-relativistic argument using the causal precedence relation, connect it to Lamport's theorem on distributed ordering, and note that approximately \$5~billion per year in latency arbitrage profits are extracted from the gap between the NBBO's implicit simultaneity convention and physical reality.