The Architects of Narrative Evolution: Actor Interventions Across the SAGES Framework in Information Campaigns
It provides a practical tool for analyzing influence operations and developing countermeasures in contested information ecosystems, addressing a domain-specific problem for researchers and practitioners in information security and policy.
The paper tackles the problem of strategic narrative manipulation in digital spaces by expanding the SAGES Framework to analyze actor interventions across five stages, using case studies of the 2021 Myanmar coup and 2022 Russia-Ukraine war to show how targeted interventions can mitigate effects.
Narratives in digital spaces are not merely organic phenomena. They are strategically shaped by a range of actors to influence public perception, behavior, and sociopolitical outcomes. This paper offers an actor-oriented expansion of the SAGES Framework, a five-stage model that traces the evolution of narratives from digital inception to real-world impact: Seeding, Amplification, Galvanization, Expansion, and Stickiness. This framework maps how adversarial and constructive actors intervene at each stage to accelerate, redirect, or counter narrative trajectories. Through comparative case studies of the 2021 Myanmar military coup and the 2022 Russia-Ukraine war, we show how narrative manipulation campaigns unfold and how targeted interventions can mitigate their effects. The SAGES framework contributes a practical lens for analyzing influence operations and developing countermeasures in an era of contested information ecosystems.