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TimeSqueeze: Dynamic Patching for Efficient Time Series Forecasting

arXiv:2603.11352v126.12 citationsh-index: 9
Predicted impact top 34% in AI · last 90 daysOriginality Incremental advance
AI Analysis

This addresses efficiency and accuracy challenges in time series forecasting for large-scale pretraining, though it is incremental as it builds on existing Transformer and patching methods.

The paper tackled the trade-off between temporal fidelity and efficiency in Transformer-based time series forecasting by introducing TimeSqueeze, a dynamic patching mechanism that adaptively selects patch boundaries based on local signal complexity, resulting in up to 20x faster convergence and 8x higher data efficiency compared to point-token baselines.

Transformer-based time series foundation models face a fundamental trade-off in choice of tokenization: point-wise embeddings preserve temporal fidelity but scale poorly with sequence length, whereas fixed-length patching improves efficiency by imposing uniform boundaries that may disrupt natural transitions and blur informative local dynamics. In order to address these limitations, we introduce TimeSqueeze, a dynamic patching mechanism that adaptively selects patch boundaries within each sequence based on local signal complexity. TimeSqueeze first applies a lightweight state-space encoder to extract full-resolution point-wise features, then performs content-aware segmentation by allocating short patches to information-dense regions and long patches to smooth or redundant segments. This variable-resolution compression preserves critical temporal structure while substantially reducing the token sequence presented to the Transformer backbone. Specifically for large-scale pretraining, TimeSqueeze attains up to 20x faster convergence and 8x higher data efficiency compared to equivalent point-token baselines. Experiments across long-horizon forecasting benchmarks show that TimeSqueeze consistently outperforms comparable architectures that use either point-wise tokenization or fixed-size patching.

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