AICLMar 17

Are Large Language Models Truly Smarter Than Humans?

arXiv:2603.1619741.5h-index: 1
Predicted impact top 80% in AI · last 90 daysOriginality Incremental advance
AI Analysis

This work addresses the risk of inflated benchmark performance for AI researchers and practitioners, highlighting systematic contamination issues that could mislead evaluations of LLM capabilities.

The paper tackled the problem of data contamination in large language models (LLMs) by conducting a multi-method audit on six frontier models, revealing contamination rates up to 66.7% in specific subjects and performance gains of up to 0.054 accuracy points, with accuracy dropping by an average of 7.0 percentage points under indirect reference tests.

Public leaderboards increasingly suggest that large language models (LLMs) surpass human experts on benchmarks spanning academic knowledge, law, and programming. Yet most benchmarks are fully public, their questions widely mirrored across the internet, creating systematic risk that models were trained on the very data used to evaluate them. This paper presents three complementary experiments forming a rigorous multi-method contamination audit of six frontier LLMs: GPT-4o, GPT-4o-mini, DeepSeek-R1, DeepSeek-V3, Llama-3.3-70B, and Qwen3-235B. Experiment 1 applies a lexical contamination detection pipeline to 513 MMLU questions across all 57 subjects, finding an overall contamination rate of 13.8% (18.1% in STEM, up to 66.7% in Philosophy) and estimated performance gains of +0.030 to +0.054 accuracy points by category. Experiment 2 applies a paraphrase and indirect-reference diagnostic to 100 MMLU questions, finding accuracy drops by an average of 7.0 percentage points under indirect reference, rising to 19.8 pp in both Law and Ethics. Experiment 3 applies TS-Guessing behavioral probes to all 513 questions and all six models, finding that 72.5% trigger memorization signals far above chance, with DeepSeek-R1 displaying a distributed memorization signature (76.6% partial reconstruction, 0% verbatim recall) that explains its anomalous Experiment 2 profile. All three experiments converge on the same contamination ranking: STEM > Professional > Social Sciences > Humanities.

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