The End of Rented Discovery: How AI Search Redistributes Power Between Hotels and Intermediaries
This addresses the problem of intermediary dominance in hotel discovery for the hospitality industry, indicating a potential shift in power dynamics.
The study audited AI search citations for hotel queries, finding that experiential queries draw 55.9% of citations from non-OTA sources compared to 30.8% for transactional queries, a 25.1 percentage-point gap, suggesting AI search may reduce intermediary control in hotel discovery.
When a traveler asks an AI search engine to recommend a hotel, which sources get cited -- and does query framing matter? We audit 1,357 grounding citations from Google Gemini across 156 hotel queries in Tokyo and document a systematic pattern we call the Intent-Source Divide. Experiential queries draw 55.9\% of their citations from non-OTA sources, compared to 30.8\% for transactional queries -- a 25.1 percentage-point gap ($p < 5 \times 10^{-20}$). The effect is amplified in Japanese, where experiential queries draw 62.1\% non-OTA citations compared to 50.0\% in English -- consistent with a more diverse Japanese non-OTA content ecosystem. For an industry in which hotels have long paid OTAs for demand acquisition, this pattern matters because it suggests that AI search may make hotel discovery less exclusively controlled by commission-based intermediaries.