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Data-Driven Nonconvex Reachability Analysis using Exact Set Propagation

arXiv:2604.0262520.0h-index: 12
Predicted impact top 51% in SY · last 90 daysOriginality Incremental advance
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This addresses the problem of over-approximation in reachability analysis for control and verification applications, though it appears to be an incremental improvement on existing deterministic data-driven approaches.

This paper tackles the problem of deterministic data-driven reachability analysis for dynamical systems with unknown dynamics and nonconvex reachable sets by introducing constrained polynomial matrix zonotopes (CPMZs) to enable algebraically exact set propagation, which significantly reduces conservatism compared to state-of-the-art methods.

This paper studies deterministic data-driven reachability analysis for dynamical systems with unknown dynamics and nonconvex reachable sets. Existing deterministic data-driven approaches typically employ zonotopic set representations, for which the multiplication between a zonotopic model set and a zonotopic state set cannot be represented algebraically exactly, thereby necessitating over-approximation steps in reachable-set propagation. To remove this structural source of conservatism, we introduce constrained polynomial matrix zonotopes (CPMZs) to represent data-consistent model sets, and show that the multiplication between a CPMZ model set and a constrained polynomial zonotope (CPZ) state set admits an algebraically exact CPZ representation. This property enables set propagation entirely within the CPZ representation, thereby avoiding propagation-induced over-approximation and even retaining the ability to represent nonconvex reachable sets. Moreover, we develop set-theoretic results that enable the intersection of data-consistent model sets as new data become available, yielding the proposed online refinement scheme that progressively tightens the data-consistent model set and, in turn, the resulting reachable set. Beyond linear systems, we extend the proposed framework to polynomial dynamics and develop additional set-theoretic results that enable both model-based and data-driven reachability analysis within the same algebraic representation. By deriving algebraically exact CPZ representations for monomials and their compositions, reachable-set propagation can be carried out directly at the set level without resorting to interval arithmetic or relaxation-based bounding techniques. Numerical examples for both linear and polynomial systems demonstrate a significant reduction in conservatism compared to state-of-the-art deterministic data-driven reachability methods.

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