Predict, Don't React: Value-Based Safety Forecasting for LLM Streaming
This addresses safety risks in real-time LLM deployments by enabling early intervention without exact boundary annotations, though it is incremental as it builds on existing moderation methods.
The paper tackles the problem of safety moderation in LLM streaming by introducing StreamGuard, a model-agnostic guardrail that forecasts harmfulness of future continuations instead of detecting boundaries, resulting in improved F1 scores, recall, and reduced miss rates across benchmarks.
In many practical LLM deployments, a single guardrail is used for both prompt and response moderation. Prompt moderation operates on fully observed text, whereas streaming response moderation requires safety decisions to be made over partial generations. Existing text-based streaming guardrails commonly frame this output-side problem as boundary detection, training models to identify the earliest prefix at which a response has already become unsafe. In this work, we introduce StreamGuard, a unified model-agnostic streaming guardrail that instead formulates moderation as a forecasting problem: given a partial prefix, the model predicts the expected harmfulness of likely future continuations. We supervise this prediction using Monte Carlo rollouts, which enables early intervention without requiring exact token-level boundary annotations. Across standard safety benchmarks, StreamGuard performs strongly both for input moderation and for streaming output moderation. At the 8B scale, StreamGuard improves aggregated input-moderation F1 from 86.7 to 88.2 and aggregated streaming output-moderation F1 from 80.4 to 81.9 relative to Qwen3Guard-Stream-8B-strict. On the QWENGUARDTEST response_loc streaming benchmark, StreamGuard reaches 97.5 F1, 95.1 recall, and 92.6% on-time intervention, compared to 95.9 F1, 92.1 recall, and 89.9% for Qwen3Guard-Stream-8B-stric, while reducing the miss rate from 7.9% to 4.9%. We further show that forecasting-based supervision transfers effectively across tokenizers and model families: with transferred targets, Gemma3-StreamGuard-1B reaches 81.3 response-moderation F1, 98.2 streaming F1, and a 3.5% miss rate. These results show that strong end-to-end streaming moderation can be obtained without exact boundary labels, and that forecasting future risk is an effective supervision strategy for low-latency safety intervention.