AIApr 11

TimeSeriesExamAgent: Creating Time Series Reasoning Benchmarks at Scale

CMU
arXiv:2604.1029191.5h-index: 12Has Code
Predicted impact top 15% in AI · last 90 daysOriginality Incremental advance
AI Analysis

For researchers evaluating LLMs on time series understanding, this provides a scalable benchmark generation method, though the findings are incremental.

The paper proposes scalable methods to create comprehensive time series reasoning benchmarks, combining templates with LLM agents. Results show that automatically generated benchmarks achieve diversity comparable to manual ones, but LLM performance remains limited in both abstract and domain-specific reasoning.

Large Language Models (LLMs) have shown promising performance in time series modeling tasks, but do they truly understand time series data? While multiple benchmarks have been proposed to answer this fundamental question, most are manually curated and focus on narrow domains or specific skill sets. To address this limitation, we propose scalable methods for creating comprehensive time series reasoning benchmarks that combine the flexibility of templates with the creativity of LLM agents. We first develop TimeSeriesExam, a multiple-choice benchmark using synthetic time series to evaluate LLMs across five core reasoning categories: pattern recognitionnoise understandingsimilarity analysisanomaly detection, and causality. Then, with TimeSeriesExamAgent, we scale our approach by automatically generating benchmarks from real-world datasets spanning healthcare, finance and weather domains. Through multi-dimensional quality evaluation, we demonstrate that our automatically generated benchmarks achieve diversity comparable to manually curated alternatives. However, our experiments reveal that LLM performance remains limited in both abstract time series reasoning and domain-specific applications, highlighting ongoing challenges in enabling effective time series understanding in these models. TimeSeriesExamAgent is available at https://github.com/magwiazda/TimeSeriesExamAgent.

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