Machine learning approaches to uncover the neural mechanisms of motivated behaviour: from ADHD to individual differences in effort and reward sensitivity

Motivated behaviour relies on the brain's capacity to evaluate effort and reward. Dysregulation within these processes contributes to a spectrum of conditions, from hyperactivity in attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) to diminished goal-directed behaviour in apathy. This thesis investigates the neural mechanisms underlying ADHD using electroencephalography (EEG) and examines individual differences in effort and reward sensitivity using neuroimaging, applying machine learning approaches through three main studies. In Study 1, task-based and resting-state EEG were employed with machine learning models to classify adult individuals with ADHD and healthy controls. Machine learning classifiers trained on task-based EEG during a stop signal task outperformed those trained on resting-state EEG, with the strongest predictive features arising from gamma-band spectral power over fronto-central and parietal regions. In Study 2, diffusion MRI and whole-brain permutation-based analyses identified associations between white matter integrity and computationally modelled parameters reflecting effort and reward sensitivity, with SMA-connected tracts emerging as a central hub. In Study 3, grey matter volumes from structural T1-weighted MRI were used to examine correlates of effort sensitivity, reward sensitivity, and subclinical apathy, with machine learning confirming robust decoding of reward sensitivity and apathy levels. Across studies, fronto-parietal circuits emerged as central to effort valuation and reward processing. These findings may serve as neural biomarkers for improving diagnostic accuracy in ADHD and motivational impairments, and for guiding personalised neurotechnological interventions.