Towards Trustworthy Depression Estimation via Disentangled Evidential Learning
This work addresses the need for trustworthy depression estimation in clinical screening by mitigating overconfident misdiagnoses due to noise and evidence redundancy.
EviDep introduces a disentangled evidential learning framework for depression estimation that jointly quantifies severity and uncertainties, achieving state-of-the-art predictive accuracy and superior uncertainty calibration on AVEC 2013, 2014, DAIC-WOZ, and E-DAIC benchmarks.
Automated depression estimation is highly vulnerable to signal corruption and ambient noise in real-world deployment. Prevailing deterministic methods produce uncalibrated point estimates, exposing safety-critical clinical systems to the severe risk of overconfident misdiagnoses. To establish a highly resilient and trustworthy assessment paradigm, we propose EviDep, an evidential learning framework that jointly quantifies depression severity alongside aleatoric and epistemic uncertainties via a Normal-Inverse-Gamma distribution. A fundamental vulnerability in multimodal evidential fusion is the uncontrolled accumulation of cross-modal redundancies. This structural flaw artificially inflates diagnostic confidence by double-counting overlapping evidence. To guarantee robust evidence synthesis, EviDep enforces strict information integrity. First, a Frequency-aware Feature Extraction module leverages a wavelet-based Mixture-of-Experts to dynamically isolate task-irrelevant noise, preserving the fidelity of diagnostic signals. Subsequently, a Disentangled Evidential Learning strategy separates the shared consensus from modality-specific nuances. By explicitly decoupling these representations before Bayesian fusion, EviDep systematically mitigates evidence redundancy. Extensive experiments on AVEC 2013, 2014, DAIC-WOZ, and E-DAIC confirm that EviDep achieves state-of-the-art predictive accuracy and superior uncertainty calibration, delivering a robust fail-safe mechanism for trustworthy clinical screening.