Spatial Adapter: Structured Spatial Decomposition and Closed-Form Covariance for Frozen Predictors

arXiv:2605.1139421.1
Predicted impact top 68% in ML · last 90 daysOriginality Incremental advance
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This work addresses the need for efficient spatial modeling in frozen predictors, offering a lightweight solution for spatial holdout prediction and uncertainty quantification in geospatial and vision tasks.

The Spatial Adapter introduces a parameter-efficient post-hoc layer that adds structured spatial representation and closed-form covariance to any frozen predictor, enabling spatial prediction with uncertainty quantification. It recovers residual spatial structure across synthetic and real-world datasets using fewer parameters than existing methods.

We present the Spatial Adapter, a parameter-efficient post-hoc layer that equips any frozen first-stage predictor with a structured spatial representation of its residual field and an induced closed-form spatial covariance. The adapter operates as a cascade second stage on residuals, jointly learning a spatially regularized orthonormal basis and per-sample scores via a tractable mini-batch ADMM procedure, without modifying any first-stage parameter. Because the first-stage parameters are frozen, the adapter does not retrain the backbone; its role is to supply a compressed distributional summary of the residual field. Smoothness, sparsity, and orthogonality together turn a generic low-rank factorization into an identifiable spatial representation whose induced residual covariance admits a closed-form low-rank-plus-noise estimator; the effective rank is determined data-adaptively by spectral thresholding, while the nominal rank K is an optimization-side upper bound only. This covariance enables kriging-style spatial prediction at unobserved locations, with plug-in uncertainty quantification as a secondary downstream use. Across synthetic data, Weather2K for spatial-holdout prediction, and GWHD patch grids as a basis-transferability diagnostic, the adapter recovers residual spatial structure when paired with frozen first stages from linear models to deep spatiotemporal and vision backbones; the added representation uses fewer than K(N+T) parameters alongside a compact residual-trend network.

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