AIJun 9

Belief-Space Control for Personalized Cancer Treatment via Active Inference

Deniz Sargun, H. Bugra Tulay, C. Emre Koksal
arXiv:2606.10376v16.2
Predicted impact top 55% in AI · last 90 daysOriginality Incremental advance
AI Analysis

This work addresses the challenge of personalized cancer treatment under partial observability and measurement constraints, offering a principled framework that outperforms standard RL approaches.

The paper models cancer treatment as a belief-space planning problem using active inference, deriving an expected free-energy objective that unifies goal-directed control and information acquisition under measurement budgets. Results on real clinical data demonstrate simultaneous patient categorization and high treatment efficacy under real constraints.

Cancer treatment is at the core a sequential decision-making problem with partial observability, latent patient heterogeneity, and explicit constraints on the budget for medical measurements. Unlike standard Reinforcement Learning (RL) approaches that control state trajectories, cancer treatments permanently modify patients' transition dynamics, changing how states evolve over time. We model cancer treatment as a belief-space planning problem using active inference, deriving an expected free-energy objective that unifies goal-directed control and information acquisition under measurement budgets without. We implement this framework using real clinical cancer data from the AACR Project GENIE Biopharma Collaborative dataset. Results on clinical data demonstrate a simultaneous patient categorization and high treatment efficacy, under real measurement and treatment constraints.

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