Set-Inclusive Uncertainty Modeling for Robust Brain Tumor Segmentation
It addresses the practical problem of missing modalities in multimodal MRI for brain tumor segmentation, offering a robust solution with improved reliability.
The paper proposes a probabilistic representation framework for brain tumor segmentation that models uncertainty from missing MRI modalities, achieving superior performance over baselines on BraTS 2018 and 2020 datasets.
Multimodal MRI is essential for accurate brain tumor segmentation. However, acquiring all modalities at inference is often challenging in practice, which causes intrinsic uncertainty due to unavoidable information loss. Without modeling this uncertainty, existing methods encode incomplete evidence into deterministic representations that appear plausible but lack reliability. In this regime, we propose a probabilistic representation framework that models representations as Gaussian distributions, where their mean captures task information and their variance measures uncertainty from missing evidence. To make variance reflect information deficiency, we regularize the mean from each partial configuration toward its full-modality counterpart, while scaling the variance with the discrepancy between their aligned means. We further introduce a set-inclusive strategy that exploits the hierarchical structure of modality subsets and enforces an ordering constraint to maintain their consistent uncertainty relationships. Extensive experiments on BraTS 2018 and 2020 demonstrate that our approach offers superior performance over baselines across diverse missing-modality scenarios. Code and model checkpoint are available at https://github.com/atlas-sky/SIUM.