Dual-Regime Absorbing Markov Chain Theory in Remote Estimation: Age-Minimizing Push Policies
For remote estimation systems, this work provides a novel method to minimize AoII with general channel delays, though the impact is incremental as it extends existing AoII optimization to a more general setting.
The paper optimizes age of incorrect information (AoII) in remote estimation with push-based transmissions, using a dual-regime absorbing Markov chain to derive optimal multi-threshold policies. Numerical examples show the method outperforms benchmark policies.
For a remote estimation system, we study the optimization of age of incorrect information (AoII), which is a recently proposed semantic-aware information freshness metric. In particular, we assume an information source that observes a discrete-time finite-state Markov chain (DTMC), and occasionally transmits status update packets to a remote monitor which is tasked with remote estimation of the source. For the forward channel from the source to the monitor, we assume the channel delay to be modeled by a general discrete-time phase-type (DPH) distribution, whereas the reverse channel from the monitor to the source is assumed to be perfect, ensuring that the source has perfect information on the AoII and the remote estimate at the monitor, at all times. Push-based transmissions are initiated when AoII exceeds a threshold depending on the current estimation value, i.e., multi-threshold policy. In this very general setting, our goal is to minimize a weighted sum of the time average of a polynomial function of AoII, depending on the remote estimate, and energy consumption from transmissions. We formulate the problem as a semi-Markov decision process (SMDP) with the same state-space of the original DTMC to obtain the optimal multi-threshold policy, whereas the parameters of the SMDP are obtained by using a novel stochastic tool called dual-regime absorbing Markov chain (DR-AMC), and its corresponding absorption time distribution named as dual-regime DPH (DR-DPH). The proposed method is validated with numerical examples using comparisons against other policies obtained by exhaustive search, and also various benchmark policies.