LGFeb 26
Predicting Tennis Serve directions with Machine LearningYing Zhu, Ruthuparna Naikar
Serves, especially first serves, are very important in professional tennis. Servers choose their serve directions strategically to maximize their winning chances while trying to be unpredictable. On the other hand, returners try to predict serve directions to make good returns. The mind game between servers and returners is an important part of decision-making in professional tennis matches. To help understand the players' serve decisions, we have developed a machine learning method for predicting professional tennis players' first serve directions. Through feature engineering, our method achieves an average prediction accuracy of around 49\% for male players and 44\% for female players. Our analysis provides some evidence that top professional players use a mixed-strategy model in serving decisions and that fatigue might be a factor in choosing serve directions. Our analysis also suggests that contextual information is perhaps more important for returners' anticipatory reactions than previously thought.
CLMar 3
Evaluating Prompting Strategies for Chart Question Answering with Large Language ModelsRuthuparna Naikar, Ying Zhu
Prompting strategies affect LLM reasoning performance, but their role in chart-based QA remains underexplored. We present a systematic evaluation of four widely used prompting paradigms (Zero-Shot, Few-Shot, Zero-Shot Chain-of-Thought, and Few-Shot Chain-of-Thought) across GPT-3.5, GPT-4, and GPT-4o on the ChartQA dataset. Our framework operates exclusively on structured chart data, isolating prompt structure as the only experimental variable, and evaluates performance using two metrics: Accuracy and Exact Match. Results from 1,200 diverse ChartQA samples show that Few-Shot Chain-of-Thought prompting consistently yields the highest accuracy (up to 78.2\%), particularly on reasoning-intensive questions, while Few-Shot prompting improves format adherence. Zero-Shot performs well only with high-capacity models on simpler tasks. These findings provide actionable guidance for selecting prompting strategies in structured data reasoning tasks, with implications for both efficiency and accuracy in real-world applications.