Petra Berenbrink

Petra Berenbrink, Colin Cooper, Thorsten Götte et al.

We analyze the discrete incremental voting process (DIV) introduced by Cooper, Radzik, and Shiraga [OPODIS '23]. In this process, we consider a set $V$ of $n$ nodes connected in an undirected graph $G = (V, E)$ where each node has an integer opinion. In one step a randomly selected node interacts with its randomly selected neighbor and changes its opinion by $1$ in the direction of the neighbour's opinion. The process converges to a unique opinion that, in expectation, is the degree-weighted average of the initial opinions. We show that if the graph has conductance $Φ(G)$, the ratio of the average to smallest degree is $γ(G)$, and the maximal difference between initial opinions is $K$, then the expected convergence time is ${O}\left({n\left(K\log (Kn)+γ(G) n \right)}/{Φ(G)^2}\right)$. This bound is essentially optimal for a large class of graphs of bounded expansion. We also show that for regular graphs, if the second largest eigenvalue is $o(1/\log^2 n)$ and $K$ is $o\left({n}/{\log^2 n}\right)$, then w.h.p.\ DIV converges to the initial average opinion (rounded up or down).

Petra Berenbrink, Max Hahn-Klimroth, Dominik Kaaser et al.

We consider the so-called Independent Cascade Model for rumor spreading or epidemic processes popularized by Kempe et al.\ [2003]. In this model, a small subset of nodes from a network are the source of a rumor. In discrete time steps, each informed node "infects" each of its uninformed neighbors with probability $p$. While many facets of this process are studied in the literature, less is known about the inference problem: given a number of infected nodes in a network, can we learn the source of the rumor? In the context of epidemiology this problem is often referred to as patient zero problem. It belongs to a broader class of problems where the goal is to infer parameters of the underlying spreading model, see, e.g., Lokhov [NeurIPS'16] or Mastakouri et al. [NeurIPS'20]. In this work we present a maximum likelihood estimator for the rumor's source, given a snapshot of the process in terms of a set of active nodes $X$ after $t$ steps. Our results show that, for cycle-free graphs, the likelihood estimator undergoes a non-trivial phase transition as a function $t$. We provide a rigorous analysis for two prominent classes of acyclic network, namely $d$-regular trees and Galton-Watson trees, and verify empirically that our heuristics work well in various general networks.