Alain B. Zemkoho

Volviane Saphir Mfogo, Alain Zemkoho, Laurent Njilla et al.

The proliferation of the Internet of Things (IoT) has raised concerns about the security of connected devices. There is a need to develop suitable and cost-efficient methods to identify vulnerabilities in IoT devices in order to address them before attackers seize opportunities to compromise them. The deception technique is a prominent approach to improving the security posture of IoT systems. Honeypot is a popular deception technique that mimics interaction in real fashion and encourages unauthorised users (attackers) to launch attacks. Due to the large number and the heterogeneity of IoT devices, manually crafting the low and high-interaction honeypots is not affordable. This has forced researchers to seek innovative ways to build honeypots for IoT devices. In this paper, we propose a honeypot for IoT devices that uses machine learning techniques to learn and interact with attackers automatically. The evaluation of the proposed model indicates that our system can improve the session length with attackers and capture more attacks on the IoT network.

Hanyu Wang, Emmanuel K. Tsinda, Anthony J. Dunn et al.

Surges that have been observed at different periods in the number of COVID-19 cases are associated with the emergence of multiple SARS-CoV-2 (Severe Acute Respiratory Virus) variants. The design of methods to support laboratory detection are crucial in the monitoring of these variants. Hence, in this paper, we develop a semi-automated method to design both forward and reverse primer sets to detect SARS-CoV-2 variants. To proceed, we train deep Convolution Neural Networks (CNNs) to classify labelled SARS-CoV-2 variants and identify partial genomic features needed for the forward and reverse Polymerase Chain Reaction (PCR) primer design. Our proposed approach supplements existing ones while promoting the emerging concept of neural network assisted primer design for PCR. Our CNN model was trained using a database of SARS-CoV-2 full-length genomes from GISAID and tested on a separate dataset from NCBI, with 98\% accuracy for the classification of variants. This result is based on the development of three different methods of feature extraction, and the selected primer sequences for each SARS-CoV-2 variant detection (except Omicron) were present in more than 95 \% of sequences in an independent set of 5000 same variant sequences, and below 5 \% in other independent datasets with 5000 sequences of each variant. In total, we obtain 22 forward and reverse primer pairs with flexible length sizes (18-25 base pairs) with an expected amplicon length ranging between 42 and 3322 nucleotides. Besides the feature appearance, in-silico primer checks confirmed that the identified primer pairs are suitable for accurate SARS-CoV-2 variant detection by means of PCR tests.

Le Cong Dinh, Tri-Dung Nguyen, Alain Zemkoho et al.

We study online learning problems in which the learner has extra knowledge about the adversary's behaviour, i.e., in game-theoretic settings where opponents typically follow some no-external regret learning algorithms. Under this assumption, we propose two new online learning algorithms, Accurate Follow the Regularized Leader (AFTRL) and Prod-Best Response (Prod-BR), that intensively exploit this extra knowledge while maintaining the no-regret property in the worst-case scenario of having inaccurate extra information. Specifically, AFTRL achieves $O(1)$ external regret or $O(1)$ \emph{forward regret} against no-external regret adversary in comparison with $O(\sqrt{T})$ \emph{dynamic regret} of Prod-BR. To the best of our knowledge, our algorithm is the first to consider forward regret that achieves $O(1)$ regret against strategic adversaries. When playing zero-sum games with Accurate Multiplicative Weights Update (AMWU), a special case of AFTRL, we achieve \emph{last round convergence} to the Nash Equilibrium. We also provide numerical experiments to further support our theoretical results. In particular, we demonstrate that our methods achieve significantly better regret bounds and rate of last round convergence, compared to the state of the art (e.g., Multiplicative Weights Update (MWU) and its optimistic counterpart, OMWU).

Marah-Lisanne Thormann, Phan Tu Vuong, Alain B. Zemkoho et al.

When datasets contain outliers, robust regression is a well-established alternative to Ordinary Least Squares. A commonly employed robust estimator is Least Trimmed Squares (LTS), which computes the regression coefficients from a subset of observations. Determining the exact solution corresponds to a combinatorial problem with prohibitive computational costs, even for instances of moderate dimension. Thus, the most prevalent approach in practice remains a heuristic known as Fast-LTS. Although the heuristic often performs effectively, certain elements of the approach remain open to improvement. In particular, its core procedure provides robust results only when initialized with a large number of starting points. To address the heuristic's limitations, this paper reformulates the LTS problem as a concave minimization problem subject to a capped simplex constraint, and proposes the successive Boosted Difference of Convex Functions Algorithm (sBDCA) as a solution method. Theoretically, we establish via the Łojasiewicz property that sBDCA converges to a local solution with a linear rate in the fastest case. To ensure robustness from a single initialization in practice, we derive and integrate a problem-specific preconditioning matrix into the algorithmic setup. Building on this theoretical foundation, we conduct numerical studies on various synthetic and real-world datasets to demonstrate the effectiveness of sBDCA with preconditioning. Specifically, we show that our approach is up to 3.25 times faster than Fast-LTS and achieves up to 90% lower objective function values, particularly in high-dimensional settings. As all code is openly available, this paper further provides a practical guide to robust regression in Python.

David Benfield, Stefano Coniglio, Martin Kunc et al.

Adversarial machine learning concerns situations in which learners face attacks from active adversaries. Such scenarios arise in applications such as spam email filtering, malware detection and fake-image generation, where security methods must be actively updated to keep up with the ever improving generation of malicious data.We model these interactions between the learner and the adversary as a game and formulate the problem as a pessimistic bilevel optimisation problem with the learner taking the role of the leader. The adversary, modelled as a stochastic data generator, takes the role of the follower, generating data in response to the classifier. While existing models rely on the assumption that the adversary will choose the least costly solution leading to a convex lower-level problem with a unique solution, we present a novel model and solution method which do not make such assumptions. We compare these to the existing approach and see significant improvements in performance suggesting that relaxing these assumptions leads to a more realistic model.

David Benfield, Stefano Coniglio, Phan Tu Vuong et al.

Adversarial machine learning concerns situations in which learners face attacks from active adversaries. Such scenarios arise in applications such as spam email filtering, malware detection and fake image generation, where security methods must be actively updated to keep up with the everimproving generation of malicious data. Pessimistic Bilevel optimisation has been shown to be an effective method of training resilient classifiers against such adversaries. By modelling these scenarios as a game between the learner and the adversary, we anticipate how the adversary will modify their data and then train a resilient classifier accordingly. However, since existing pessimistic bilevel approaches feature an unrestricted adversary, the model is vulnerable to becoming overly pessimistic and unrealistic. When finding the optimal solution that defeats the classifier, it is possible that the adversary's data becomes nonsensical and loses its intended nature. Such an adversary will not properly reflect reality, and consequently, will lead to poor classifier performance when implemented on real-world data. By constructing a constrained pessimistic bilevel optimisation model, we restrict the adversary's movements and identify a solution that better reflects reality. We demonstrate through experiments that this model performs, on average, better than the existing approach.

Hanyu Wang, Emmanuel K. Tsinda, Anthony J. Dunn et al.

Motivation: PCR is more economical and quicker than Next Generation Sequencing for detecting target organisms, with primer design being a critical step. In epidemiology with rapidly mutating viruses, designing effective primers is challenging. Traditional methods require substantial manual intervention and struggle to ensure effective primer design across different strains. For organisms with large, similar genomes like Escherichia coli and Shigella flexneri, differentiating between species is also difficult but crucial. Results: We developed Primer C-VAE, a model based on a Variational Auto-Encoder framework with Convolutional Neural Networks to identify variants and generate specific primers. Using SARS-CoV-2, our model classified variants (alpha, beta, gamma, delta, omicron) with 98% accuracy and generated variant-specific primers. These primers appeared with >95% frequency in target variants and <5% in others, showing good performance in in-silico PCR tests. For Alpha, Delta, and Omicron, our primer pairs produced fragments <200 bp, suitable for qPCR detection. The model also generated effective primers for organisms with longer gene sequences like E. coli and S. flexneri. Conclusion: Primer C-VAE is an interpretable deep learning approach for developing specific primer pairs for target organisms. This flexible, semi-automated and reliable tool works regardless of sequence completeness and length, allowing for qPCR applications and can be applied to organisms with large and highly similar genomes.

Anthony J. Dunn, Mohamed H. ElRefai, Paul R. Roberts et al.

Subcutaneous Implantable Cardioverter-Defibrillators (S-ICDs) are used for prevention of sudden cardiac death triggered by ventricular arrhythmias. T Wave Over Sensing (TWOS) is an inherent risk with S-ICDs which can lead to inappropriate shocks. A major predictor of TWOS is a high T:R ratio (the ratio between the amplitudes of the T and R waves). Currently patients' Electrocardiograms (ECGs) are screened over 10 seconds to measure the T:R ratio, determining the patients' eligibility for S-ICD implantation. Due to temporal variations in the T:R ratio, 10 seconds is not long enough to reliably determine the normal values of a patient's T:R ratio. In this paper, we develop a convolutional neural network (CNN) based model utilising phase space reconstruction matrices to predict T:R ratios from 10-second ECG segments without explicitly locating the R or T waves, thus avoiding the issue of TWOS. This tool can be used to automatically screen patients over a much longer period and provide an in-depth description of the behaviour of the T:R ratio over that period. The tool can also enable much more reliable and descriptive screenings to better assess patients' eligibility for S-ICD implantation.

Stefano Coniglio, Anthony J. Dunn, Alain B. Zemkoho

We address the problem of predicting the occurrence of infrequent adverse events in the context of predictive maintenance. We cast the corresponding machine learning task as an imbalanced classification problem and propose a framework for solving it that is capable of leveraging different classifiers in order to predict the occurrence of an adverse event before it takes place. In particular, we focus on two applications arising in low-carbon energy production: foam formation in anaerobic digestion and condenser tube leakage in the steam turbines of a nuclear power station. The results of an extensive set of omputational experiments show the effectiveness of the techniques that we propose.