Infrequent adverse event prediction in low carbon energy production using machine learning
This work addresses predictive maintenance for low-carbon energy systems, but it is incremental as it applies existing imbalanced classification techniques to specific domain problems without introducing major methodological breakthroughs.
The paper tackled predicting infrequent adverse events in low-carbon energy production, such as foam formation in anaerobic digestion and condenser tube leakage in nuclear power, by framing it as an imbalanced classification problem and proposing a framework that leverages different classifiers, with results showing effectiveness in computational experiments.
We address the problem of predicting the occurrence of infrequent adverse events in the context of predictive maintenance. We cast the corresponding machine learning task as an imbalanced classification problem and propose a framework for solving it that is capable of leveraging different classifiers in order to predict the occurrence of an adverse event before it takes place. In particular, we focus on two applications arising in low-carbon energy production: foam formation in anaerobic digestion and condenser tube leakage in the steam turbines of a nuclear power station. The results of an extensive set of omputational experiments show the effectiveness of the techniques that we propose.