Alexandre L. S. Filipowicz

Clement Wong, Amalie Trewartha, Steven B. Torrisi et al.

Vehicle-to-Grid (V2G) adoption is hindered by uncertainties regarding its effects on battery lifetime and vehicle usability. These uncertainties are compounded by limited insight into real-world vehicle usage. Here, we leverage real-world Californian BEV usage data to design and evaluate a user-centric V2G strategy. We identified four clustered driver profiles for V2G assessment, ranging from "Daily Chargers" to "Public Chargers". We show that V2G participation is most feasible for "Daily Chargers," and that the effects on battery lifetime depend on calendar aging sensitivity. For batteries with low sensitivity, V2G participation increases capacity loss for all drivers. However, for batteries with high sensitivity, V2G participation can lead to negligible changes in capacity or even improved capacity retention, particularly for drivers who tend to keep their batteries at high states of charge. Our findings enable stakeholders to better assess the potential and viability of V2G adoption.

Yan-Ying Chen, Yue Weng, Alexandre Filipowicz et al.

Human decision making can be challenging to predict because decisions are affected by a number of complex factors. Adding to this complexity, decision-making processes can differ considerably between individuals, and methods aimed at predicting human decisions need to take individual differences into account. Behavioral science offers methods by which to measure individual differences (e.g., questionnaires, behavioral models), but these are often narrowed down to low dimensions and not tailored to specific prediction tasks. This paper investigates the use of representation learning to measure individual differences from behavioral experiment data. Representation learning offers a flexible approach to create individual embeddings from data that are both structured (e.g., demographic information) and unstructured (e.g., free text), where the flexibility provides more options for individual difference measures for personalization, e.g., free text responses may allow for open-ended questions that are less privacy-sensitive. In the current paper we use representation learning to characterize individual differences in human performance on an economic decision-making task. We demonstrate that models using representation learning to capture individual differences consistently improve decision predictions over models without representation learning, and even outperform well-known theory-based behavioral models used in these environments. Our results propose that representation learning offers a useful and flexible tool to capture individual differences.

Keiichi Namikoshi, David A. Shamma, Rumen Iliev et al.

Behavior change interventions are important to coordinate societal action across a wide array of important applications, including the adoption of electrified vehicles to reduce emissions. Prior work has demonstrated that interventions for behavior must be personalized, and that the intervention that is most effective on average across a large group can result in a backlash effect that strengthens opposition among some subgroups. Thus, it is important to target interventions to different audiences, and to present them in a natural, conversational style. In this context, an important emerging application domain for large language models (LLMs) is conversational interventions for behavior change. In this work, we leverage prior work on understanding values motivating the adoption of battery electric vehicles. We leverage new advances in LLMs, combined with a contextual bandit, to develop conversational interventions that are personalized to the values of each study participant. We use a contextual bandit algorithm to learn to target values based on the demographics of each participant. To train our bandit algorithm in an offline manner, we leverage LLMs to play the role of study participants. We benchmark the persuasive effectiveness of our bandit-enhanced LLM against an unaided LLM generating conversational interventions without demographic-targeted values.

Totte Harinen, Alexandre Filipowicz, Shabnam Hakimi et al.

Different advertising messages work for different people. Machine learning can be an effective way to personalise climate communications. In this paper we use machine learning to reanalyse findings from a recent study, showing that online advertisements increased some people's belief in climate change while resulting in decreased belief in others. In particular, we show that the effect of the advertisements could change depending on people's age and ethnicity.

Peter A. V. DiBerardino, Alexandre L. S. Filipowicz, James Danckert et al.

Prior beliefs are central to Bayesian accounts of cognition, but many of these accounts do not directly measure priors. More specifically, initial states of belief heavily influence how new information is assumed to be utilized when updating a particular model. Despite this, prior and posterior beliefs are either inferred from sequential participant actions or elicited through impoverished means. We had participants play a version of the game "Plinko", to first elicit individual participant priors in a theoretically agnostic manner. Subsequent learning and updating of participant beliefs was then directly measured. We show that participants hold a variety of priors that cluster around prototypical probability distributions that in turn influence learning. In follow-up experiments we show that participant priors are stable over time and that the ability to update beliefs is influenced by a simple environmental manipulation (i.e. a short break). This data reveals the importance of directly measuring participant beliefs rather than assuming or inferring them as has been widely done in the literature to date. The Plinko game provides a flexible and fecund means for examining statistical learning and mental model updating.