Lorenz Dörschel

Xu Chen, Kevin Kluge, Maximilian Basler et al.

This work addresses the challenge of ignition timing and load control in homogeneous charge compression ignition engines operating subject to uncertainty from complex combustion dynamics and external disturbances. To handle this issue, we propose a nonlinear stochastic model predictive control approach explicitly incorporating distributional information of uncertainties. Specifically, we integrate an uncertainty model learned from empirical residual data to capture realistic probabilistic characteristics and handle the nonlinear additive uncertainty propagation within the prediction horizon based on polynomial chaos expansion. Additionally, we introduce a novel cost function based on maximum mean discrepancy, enabling direct penalization of the discrepancy between predicted and desired distributions of combustion indicators. The simulation results demonstrate that our proposed method achieves over a 28 \% reduction on combustion phasing variation and more than a 26 \% improvement in load tracking accuracy compared to traditional nonlinear and Gaussian-based predictive control strategies. These findings indicate the effectiveness of explicitly modeling uncertainty distributions and highlight the advantages of distribution-level performance index in robust combustion control.

Xu Chen, Lorenz Dörschel

This study addresses the stochastic Model Predictive Control (MPC) problem for linear time-invariant systems subjected to unknown disturbance distributions. By leveraging the most recent disturbance data, we construct a set of distributions with similar statistical properties contained within a Wasserstein ball, thereby accounting for the worst-case impacts on constraint satisfaction. Numerous MPC strategies, particularly tube-based approaches, have been extensively studied under the Wasserstein ambiguity set, but these methods often introduce conservatism and can limit control performance. Unlike tube-based approaches, we adopt a disturbance-affine control strategy, which introduces additional control degrees of freedom. We begin by developing the Disturbance-Affine Distributionally Robust (DA-DR) MPC framework, subsequently reformulating the control problem into a tractable quadratic programming formulation. Furthermore, we establish the recursive feasibility and stability of the proposed MPC scheme. Finally, we present comprehensive theoretical analysis and simulation results, demonstrating the superiority of the DA-DR MPC over tube-based MPC in initial feasible sets, average performance, and state variance control.