Weiwei Yang

Ning Qi, Peng Li, Lin Cheng et al.

Energy storage (ES) and virtual energy storage (VES) are key components to realizing power system decarbonization. Although ES and VES have been proven to deliver various types of grid services, little work has so far provided a systematical framework for quantifying their adequacy contribution and credible capacity value while incorporating human and market behavior. Therefore, this manuscript proposed a novel evaluation framework to evaluate the capacity credit (CC) of ES and VES. To address the system capacity inadequacy and market behavior of storage, a two-stage coordinated dispatch is proposed to achieve the trade-off between day-ahead self-energy management of resources and efficient adjustment to real-time failures. And we further modeled the human behavior with storage operations and incorporate two types of decision-independent uncertainties (DIUs) (operate state and self-consumption) and one type of decision-dependent uncertainty (DDUs) (available capacity) into the proposed dispatch. Furthermore, novel reliability and CC indices (e.g., equivalent physical storage capacity (EPSC)) are introduced to evaluate the practical and theoretical adequacy contribution of ES and VES, as well as the ability to displace generation and physical storage while maintaining equivalent system adequacy. Exhaustive case studies based on the IEEE RTS-79 system and real-world data verify the significant consequence (10%-70% overestimated CC) of overlooking DIUs and DDUs in the previous works, while the proposed method outperforms other and can generate a credible and realistic result. Finally, we investigate key factors affecting the adequacy contribution of ES and VES, and reasonable suggestions are provided for better flexibility utilization of ES and VES in decarbonized power system.

Hayden S. Helm, Ashwin De Silva, Joshua T. Vogelstein et al.

We propose a class of models based on Fisher's Linear Discriminant (FLD) in the context of domain adaptation. The class is the convex combination of two hypotheses: i) an average hypothesis representing previously seen source tasks and ii) a hypothesis trained on a new target task. For a particular generative setting we derive the optimal convex combination of the two models under 0-1 loss, propose a computable approximation, and study the effect of various parameter settings on the relative risks between the optimal hypothesis, hypothesis i), and hypothesis ii). We demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed optimal classifier in the context of EEG- and ECG-based classification settings and argue that the optimal classifier can be computed without access to direct information from any of the individual source tasks. We conclude by discussing further applications, limitations, and possible future directions.

Wenqi Cui, Linbin Huang, Weiwei Yang et al.

A key barrier to using reinforcement learning (RL) in many real-world applications is the requirement of a large number of system interactions to learn a good control policy. Off-policy and Offline RL methods have been proposed to reduce the number of interactions with the physical environment by learning control policies from historical data. However, their performances suffer from the lack of exploration and the distributional shifts in trajectories once controllers are updated. Moreover, most RL methods require that all states are directly observed, which is difficult to be attained in many settings. To overcome these challenges, we propose a trajectory generation algorithm, which adaptively generates new trajectories as if the system is being operated and explored under the updated control policies. Motivated by the fundamental lemma for linear systems, assuming sufficient excitation, we generate trajectories from linear combinations of historical trajectories. For linear feedback control, we prove that the algorithm generates trajectories with the exact distribution as if they are sampled from the real system using the updated control policy. In particular, the algorithm extends to systems where the states are not directly observed. Experiments show that the proposed method significantly reduces the number of sampled data needed for RL algorithms.

Hayden Helm, Carey E. Priebe, Weiwei Yang

The emergence of human-like abilities of AI systems for content generation in domains such as text, audio, and vision has prompted the development of classifiers to determine whether content originated from a human or a machine. Implicit in these efforts is an assumption that the generation properties of a human are different from that of the machine. In this work, we provide a framework in the language of statistical pattern recognition that quantifies the difference between the distributions of human and machine-generated content conditioned on an evaluation context. We describe current methods in the context of the framework and demonstrate how to use the framework to evaluate the progression of generative models towards human-like capabilities, among many axes of analysis.

Li Chen, Ningyuan Huang, Cong Mu et al.

Deep neural networks are susceptible to label noise. Existing methods to improve robustness, such as meta-learning and regularization, usually require significant change to the network architecture or careful tuning of the optimization procedure. In this work, we propose a simple hierarchical approach that incorporates a label hierarchy when training the deep learning models. Our approach requires no change of the network architecture or the optimization procedure. We investigate our hierarchical network through a wide range of simulated and real datasets and various label noise types. Our hierarchical approach improves upon regular deep neural networks in learning with label noise. Combining our hierarchical approach with pre-trained models achieves state-of-the-art performance in real-world noisy datasets.

Guodong Chen, Hayden S. Helm, Kate Lytvynets et al.

We consider the problem of extracting features from passive, multi-channel electroencephalogram (EEG) devices for downstream inference tasks related to high-level mental states such as stress and cognitive load. Our proposed method leverages recently developed multi-graph tools and applies them to the time series of graphs implied by the statistical dependence structure (e.g., correlation) amongst the multiple sensors. We compare the effectiveness of the proposed features to traditional band power-based features in the context of three classification experiments and find that the two feature sets offer complementary predictive information. We conclude by showing that the importance of particular channels and pairs of channels for classification when using the proposed features is neuroscientifically valid.

Ashwin De Silva, Rahul Ramesh, Lyle Ungar et al.

Learning is a process which can update decision rules, based on past experience, such that future performance improves. Traditionally, machine learning is often evaluated under the assumption that the future will be identical to the past in distribution or change adversarially. But these assumptions can be either too optimistic or pessimistic for many problems in the real world. Real world scenarios evolve over multiple spatiotemporal scales with partially predictable dynamics. Here we reformulate the learning problem to one that centers around this idea of dynamic futures that are partially learnable. We conjecture that certain sequences of tasks are not retrospectively learnable (in which the data distribution is fixed), but are prospectively learnable (in which distributions may be dynamic), suggesting that prospective learning is more difficult in kind than retrospective learning. We argue that prospective learning more accurately characterizes many real world problems that (1) currently stymie existing artificial intelligence solutions and/or (2) lack adequate explanations for how natural intelligences solve them. Thus, studying prospective learning will lead to deeper insights and solutions to currently vexing challenges in both natural and artificial intelligences.

Hayden S. Helm, Amitabh Basu, Avanti Athreya et al.

Learning to rank -- producing a ranked list of items specific to a query and with respect to a set of supervisory items -- is a problem of general interest. The setting we consider is one in which no analytic description of what constitutes a good ranking is available. Instead, we have a collection of representations and supervisory information consisting of a (target item, interesting items set) pair. We demonstrate analytically, in simulation, and in real data examples that learning to rank via combining representations using an integer linear program is effective when the supervision is as light as "these few items are similar to your item of interest." While this nomination task is quite general, for specificity we present our methodology from the perspective of vertex nomination in graphs. The methodology described herein is model agnostic.

Darren Edge, Weiwei Yang, Kate Lytvynets et al.

Case records on victims of human trafficking are highly sensitive, yet the ability to share such data is critical to evidence-based practice and policy development across government, business, and civil society. We present new methods to anonymize, publish, and explore such data, implemented as a pipeline generating three artifacts: (1) synthetic data mitigating the privacy risk that published attribute combinations might be linked to known individuals or groups; (2) aggregate data mitigating the utility risk that synthetic data might misrepresent statistics needed for official reporting; and (3) visual analytics interfaces to both datasets mitigating the accessibility risk that privacy mechanisms or analysis tools might not be understandable and usable by all stakeholders. We present our work as a design study motivated by the goal of transforming how the world's largest database of identified victims is made available for global collaboration against human trafficking.

Jayanta Dey, Joshua T. Vogelstein, Hayden S. Helm et al.

In lifelong learning, data are used to improve performance not only on the present task, but also on past and future (unencountered) tasks. While typical transfer learning algorithms can improve performance on future tasks, their performance on prior tasks degrades upon learning new tasks (called forgetting). Many recent approaches for continual or lifelong learning have attempted to maintain performance on old tasks given new tasks. But striving to avoid forgetting sets the goal unnecessarily low. The goal of lifelong learning should be to use data to improve performance on both future tasks (forward transfer) and past tasks (backward transfer). In this paper, we show that a simple approach -- representation ensembling -- demonstrates both forward and backward transfer in a variety of simulated and benchmark data scenarios, including tabular, vision (CIFAR-100, 5-dataset, Split Mini-Imagenet, and Food1k), and speech (spoken digit), in contrast to various reference algorithms, which typically failed to transfer either forward or backward, or both. Moreover, our proposed approach can flexibly operate with or without a computational budget.