Sequential Counterfactual Risk MinimizationHoussam Zenati, Eustache Diemert, Matthieu Martin et al.
Counterfactual Risk Minimization (CRM) is a framework for dealing with the logged bandit feedback problem, where the goal is to improve a logging policy using offline data. In this paper, we explore the case where it is possible to deploy learned policies multiple times and acquire new data. We extend the CRM principle and its theory to this scenario, which we call "Sequential Counterfactual Risk Minimization (SCRM)." We introduce a novel counterfactual estimator and identify conditions that can improve the performance of CRM in terms of excess risk and regret rates, by using an analysis similar to restart strategies in accelerated optimization methods. We also provide an empirical evaluation of our method in both discrete and continuous action settings, and demonstrate the benefits of multiple deployments of CRM.
5.8LGJun 19, 2022
Nested banditsMatthieu Martin, Panayotis Mertikopoulos, Thibaud Rahier et al.
In many online decision processes, the optimizing agent is called to choose between large numbers of alternatives with many inherent similarities; in turn, these similarities imply closely correlated losses that may confound standard discrete choice models and bandit algorithms. We study this question in the context of nested bandits, a class of adversarial multi-armed bandit problems where the learner seeks to minimize their regret in the presence of a large number of distinct alternatives with a hierarchy of embedded (non-combinatorial) similarities. In this setting, optimal algorithms based on the exponential weights blueprint (like Hedge, EXP3, and their variants) may incur significant regret because they tend to spend excessive amounts of time exploring irrelevant alternatives with similar, suboptimal costs. To account for this, we propose a nested exponential weights (NEW) algorithm that performs a layered exploration of the learner's set of alternatives based on a nested, step-by-step selection method. In so doing, we obtain a series of tight bounds for the learner's regret showing that online learning problems with a high degree of similarity between alternatives can be resolved efficiently, without a red bus / blue bus paradox occurring.
4.3SPSep 8, 2022
Impact of dataset size and long-term ECoG-based BCI usage on deep learning decoders performanceMaciej Śliwowski, Matthieu Martin, Antoine Souloumiac et al.
In brain-computer interfaces (BCI) research, recording data is time-consuming and expensive, which limits access to big datasets. This may influence the BCI system performance as machine learning methods depend strongly on the training dataset size. Important questions arise: taking into account neuronal signal characteristics (e.g., non-stationarity), can we achieve higher decoding performance with more data to train decoders? What is the perspective for further improvement with time in the case of long-term BCI studies? In this study, we investigated the impact of long-term recordings on motor imagery decoding from two main perspectives: model requirements regarding dataset size and potential for patient adaptation. We evaluated the multilinear model and two deep learning (DL) models on a long-term BCI and Tetraplegia NCT02550522 clinical trial dataset containing 43 sessions of ECoG recordings performed with a tetraplegic patient. In the experiment, a participant executed 3D virtual hand translation using motor imagery patterns. We designed multiple computational experiments in which training datasets were increased or translated to investigate the relationship between models' performance and different factors influencing recordings. Our analysis showed that adding more data to the training dataset may not instantly increase performance for datasets already containing 40 minutes of the signal. DL decoders showed similar requirements regarding the dataset size compared to the multilinear model while demonstrating higher decoding performance. Moreover, high decoding performance was obtained with relatively small datasets recorded later in the experiment, suggesting motor imagery patterns improvement and patient adaptation. Finally, we proposed UMAP embeddings and local intrinsic dimensionality as a way to visualize the data and potentially evaluate data quality.
3.3SPOct 5, 2022
Deep learning for ECoG brain-computer interface: end-to-end vs. hand-crafted featuresMaciej Śliwowski, Matthieu Martin, Antoine Souloumiac et al.
In brain signal processing, deep learning (DL) models have become commonly used. However, the performance gain from using end-to-end DL models compared to conventional ML approaches is usually significant but moderate, typically at the cost of increased computational load and deteriorated explainability. The core idea behind deep learning approaches is scaling the performance with bigger datasets. However, brain signals are temporal data with a low signal-to-noise ratio, uncertain labels, and nonstationary data in time. Those factors may influence the training process and slow down the models' performance improvement. These factors' influence may differ for end-to-end DL model and one using hand-crafted features. As not studied before, this paper compares models that use raw ECoG signal and time-frequency features for BCI motor imagery decoding. We investigate whether the current dataset size is a stronger limitation for any models. Finally, obtained filters were compared to identify differences between hand-crafted features and optimized with backpropagation. To compare the effectiveness of both strategies, we used a multilayer perceptron and a mix of convolutional and LSTM layers that were already proved effective in this task. The analysis was performed on the long-term clinical trial database (almost 600 minutes of recordings) of a tetraplegic patient executing motor imagery tasks for 3D hand translation. For a given dataset, the results showed that end-to-end training might not be significantly better than the hand-crafted features-based model. The performance gap is reduced with bigger datasets, but considering the increased computational load, end-to-end training may not be profitable for this application.
Efficient Kernel UCB for Contextual BanditsHoussam Zenati, Alberto Bietti, Eustache Diemert et al.
In this paper, we tackle the computational efficiency of kernelized UCB algorithms in contextual bandits. While standard methods require a O(CT^3) complexity where T is the horizon and the constant C is related to optimizing the UCB rule, we propose an efficient contextual algorithm for large-scale problems. Specifically, our method relies on incremental Nystrom approximations of the joint kernel embedding of contexts and actions. This allows us to achieve a complexity of O(CTm^2) where m is the number of Nystrom points. To recover the same regret as the standard kernelized UCB algorithm, m needs to be of order of the effective dimension of the problem, which is at most O(\sqrt(T)) and nearly constant in some cases.
2.7MLAug 7, 2020
Individual Treatment Prescription Effect Estimation in a Low Compliance SettingThibaud Rahier, Amélie Héliou, Matthieu Martin et al.
Individual Treatment Effect (ITE) estimation is an extensively researched problem, with applications in various domains. We model the case where there exists heterogeneous non-compliance to a randomly assigned treatment, a typical situation in health (because of non-compliance to prescription) or digital advertising (because of competition and ad blockers for instance). The lower the compliance, the more the effect of treatment prescription, or individual prescription effect (IPE), signal fades away and becomes hard to estimate. We propose a new approach for the estimation of the IPE that takes advantage of observed compliance information to prevent signal fading. Using the Structural Causal Model framework and do-calculus, we define a general mediated causal effect setting and propose a corresponding estimator which consistently recovers the IPE with asymptotic variance guarantees. Finally, we conduct experiments on both synthetic and real-world datasets that highlight the benefit of the approach, which consistently improves state-of-the-art in low compliance settings
Counterfactual Learning of Stochastic Policies with Continuous ActionsHoussam Zenati, Alberto Bietti, Matthieu Martin et al.
Counterfactual reasoning from logged data has become increasingly important for many applications such as web advertising or healthcare. In this paper, we address the problem of learning stochastic policies with continuous actions from the viewpoint of counterfactual risk minimization (CRM). While the CRM framework is appealing and well studied for discrete actions, the continuous action case raises new challenges about modelization, optimization, and~offline model selection with real data which turns out to be particularly challenging. Our paper contributes to these three aspects of the CRM estimation pipeline. First, we introduce a modelling strategy based on a joint kernel embedding of contexts and actions, which overcomes the shortcomings of previous discretization approaches. Second, we empirically show that the optimization aspect of counterfactual learning is important, and we demonstrate the benefits of proximal point algorithms and smooth estimators. Finally, we propose an evaluation protocol for offline policies in real-world logged systems, which is challenging since policies cannot be replayed on test data, and we release a new large-scale dataset along with multiple synthetic, yet realistic, evaluation setups.