MLLGApr 22, 2020

Counterfactual Learning of Stochastic Policies with Continuous Actions

arXiv:2004.11722v711 citations
AI Analysis

This addresses the challenge of applying counterfactual reasoning to continuous-action domains like web advertising and healthcare, representing an incremental advancement in the CRM framework.

The paper tackled the problem of learning stochastic policies with continuous actions from logged data using counterfactual risk minimization, introducing a joint kernel embedding approach that overcomes previous discretization limitations and demonstrating benefits of proximal point algorithms and smooth estimators.

Counterfactual reasoning from logged data has become increasingly important for many applications such as web advertising or healthcare. In this paper, we address the problem of learning stochastic policies with continuous actions from the viewpoint of counterfactual risk minimization (CRM). While the CRM framework is appealing and well studied for discrete actions, the continuous action case raises new challenges about modelization, optimization, and~offline model selection with real data which turns out to be particularly challenging. Our paper contributes to these three aspects of the CRM estimation pipeline. First, we introduce a modelling strategy based on a joint kernel embedding of contexts and actions, which overcomes the shortcomings of previous discretization approaches. Second, we empirically show that the optimization aspect of counterfactual learning is important, and we demonstrate the benefits of proximal point algorithms and smooth estimators. Finally, we propose an evaluation protocol for offline policies in real-world logged systems, which is challenging since policies cannot be replayed on test data, and we release a new large-scale dataset along with multiple synthetic, yet realistic, evaluation setups.

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